CME Scoreboard |
|
Prediction for CME (2022-03-25T06:12:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2022-03-25T06:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19529/-1 CME Note: This CME is first visible to the East in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and to the SW in STEREO A COR2. As the CME propagates out of the field of view, the halo feature becomes more clear in both SOHO and STEREO A coronagraphs. The source of this CME is the M1.4 class flare from AR12974 (~S19E36) that peaked at 2022-03-25T05:26Z (based off of GOES-17 data). The flare and the associated EUV wave (which, as seen in SDO/AIA 193/171 seems to be directed mostly towards the West) are clearly seen in SDO/AIA 193, 171, 211, and 94. The associated dimming is not pronounced. There is a data gap in STEREO A EUVI 195 during this event, but a change in the associated Active Region is visible after the data gap. UPDATE (2022-03-29T20:05Z) from Fernando: I do not see any signature of an ICME any of the days [2022-03-27 to 03-28]. There is a clear SIR crossing, though. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-03-27T06:00Z Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Prediction Method Note: Please enter the following information for your prediction: SWPC ENLIL settings: ENLIL version: Resolution: Ambient settings: WSA version: CME input parameters Time at 21.5Rs boundary: Radial velocity (km/s): Longitude (deg): Latitude (deg): Half-angular width (deg): Notes:Lead Time: 36.00 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Robert Loper (M2M Office) on 2022-03-25T18:00Z |
|
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers. Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement |